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In June 2026, the overall Business Barometer index showed a slight increase to -10.8⇧+0.9, while remaining in the zone of negative expectations.
Negative sentiment prevails across all four sectors, although all of them demonstrate moderately positive dynamics. Manufacturing (-12.8⇧+0.1) and trade (-12.4⇧+0.2) remain the most problematic sectors, while the situation is perceived somewhat more optimistically in services (-8.0⇧+2.1) and construction (-1.9⇧+3.1).
Regardless of business size, negative expectations also dominate across all categories, but they are gradually weakening among micro (-10.0⇧+0.8), small (-14.4⇧+0.1), medium-sized (-9.0⇧+1.7), and large (-7.1⇧+1.6) enterprises.
Exporters’ expectations are more optimistic than those of businesses overall (-10.0⇧+0.7).
The survey results on companies’ readiness to act as investors or contractors in Ukraine’s reconstruction projects show that only 9% of businesses are already participating in such initiatives, while another 22% are ready to join if specific opportunities are available. Most respondents either are interested but lack information on participation mechanisms, requirements, and procedures (17%), or are considering this opportunity but are constrained by financial risks and limited access to financing (34%). Meanwhile, 18% are currently not ready due to a lack of resources or high risks. This indicates significant potential for private sector engagement in the country’s recovery; however, unlocking this potential requires clear information for businesses, reduced financial risks, and transparent, understandable conditions for investors and contractors.
Monthly, in addition to the regular survey, respondents can answer the “hot” question of the month and contact the hot line of the Ukrainian Chamber of Commerce and Industry.
The survey is conducted in verified chatbots on Telegram and Viber and takes only 2 minutes.
Access to the June 2026 report is here.
About the “Business Barometer”
The Business Barometer from the Ukrainian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (UCCI) reflects the views of enterprises and entrepreneurs who are members and partners of the UCCI. It shows expectations regarding changes in the business environment for the upcoming month compared to the previous one.
It is based on a survey that takes into account the status of indicators (“sub-indices”) of respondents’ activities in four sectors (manufacturing, construction, trade, services). The Business Barometer is adapted to the needs of members and partners of the UCCI. A unique feature of the
Business Barometer is the inclusion of specialized sectoral questions and an analysis of the state of exports, providing an additional perspective on market conditions.
The main goal of the Index is to provide enterprises and entrepreneurs who are members and partners of the UCCI with a simple and accessible tool for assessing changes in the business environment in Ukraine.
The Business Barometer value of 0 points indicates no change in expectations. A value above 0 suggests that businesses anticipate an improvement in economic trends compared to the previous month. A value below 0 reflects negative expectations regarding changes relative to the prior month.
This publication was created by the Ukrainian Chamber of Commerce and Industry within the framework of the project "Transformational Recovery for People's Security in Ukraine," funded by the Government of Japan and implemented by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) in Ukraine.
The opinions, statements, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this document belong to the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of UNDP, the United Nations, the Government of Japan, and/or other international partners.
